Adjusting Nick Punto's ZiPS Projections With Park Factors, Other Factors

As we all are presently aware, Future Hall-of-Famer Nick Punto has taken his talents to the desert. According to Punto himself, he had, "grown bored of annihilating American League pitching," and was looking for a change of scenery.  So he demanded his release from the team, and signed up with 'Zona, hoping that the National League, "Has gotten some fresh pitchers since I left."  Anyways, Punto's ZiPS projections for the 2015 season were calculated before his change of teams, and I'm here to adjust the numbers to his new park, league, and roll on the team.  First, the initial projections:

Player	Age	PO	PA	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	No.1 Comp
Nick Punto	37	2B	239	22	45	8	1	2	15	2	2	0.213	0.292	0.289	Craig Counsell

ZiPS wouldn't dare comp Punto to
Jamey Carroll's punk ass.

Pretty shitty, right?  It's a good thing Punto is moving from one of the worst offensive parks to one of the best, because I was about to say, those don't look like Punto level numbers!  I mean, what kind of insulting comp is Craig Counsell????  You might as well comp him to Montreal-era Jamey Carroll! HA! Like that would ever happen.

Obviously, Future Hall-of-Famer Nick Punto will do, like, an assload better than these ZiPS projections. (Due a tangible change of league and home park, of course.)

There are multiple adjustments that need to be made to the ZiPS projections.  Number one, they assume just 239 PAs for Nicky P in 2015.  What?  We all know Punto's a versatility machine.  Give 'em six-hundo and we'll call it even.  With 600 PAs, things shape up a little bit, but we have to take into full account the effect his new park will have on his numbers.  According to Fangraphs Park Factors, Punto should expect a 7% increase in offensive output due to his new home at Chase Field.  Well screw that shit!  We all know Punto's gonna mash like a friggin' potato.  A better estimate of his uptick in offense due to Park Factors is that it will be, like, 300% better.  Punto's adjusted line:

Player

Age

PO

PA

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

No.1 Comp

Nick Punto

37

2B

600

166

339

60

8

15

113

15

15

Nick Punto

Now that's more like it!  Some interesting observations about his adjusted projections:

• ZiPS predicts 60 doubles from Punto, taking into account Chase Field's expansive outfield gaps.
• It also predicts 113 RBI, showing that Punto will benefit from hitting in the middle of the order on his new team.
• ZiPS forecasts that Punto will break the all-time single-season hits record by a margin of 77.
• ZiPS adjusted Punto's comp to the only player who he could possibly be compared to: himself.